000			03226cam a2200301 a 4500
008			080310s1991 nyua b 001 0 eng
010			_a90045269
020			_a0471512230
035			_a(Sirsi) u63
040			_aEG-CaNU _cEG-CaNU _dEG-CaNU
042			_ancode
082	0	0	_a601.12 _2 22
245	0	0	_aForecasting and management of technology / _c Alan L. Porter ... [et al.] ; with software and documentation by Bradley J. Wiederholt.
260			_aNew York : _b Wiley, _c c1991.
300			_axiv, 448 p. : _b ill. ; _c 25 cm. + _e 1 computer disk (5 1/4 in.)
490	0		_aWiley series in engineering & technology management
500			_a"A Wiley-Interscience publication."
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 421-440) and index.
505	0		_aOVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES -- Management, Technology, and the Future -- Principles of Sociotechnical Change -- Technology Planning -- Forecasting -- Managing the Forecasting Project -- METHODS -- General Methodological Issues -- The Stimulation of Creativity -- Monitoring -- Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation -- Extrapolating Technological Trends -- Expert Opinion -- Simulation -- Scenarios -- Economic Forecasting and Analysis -- ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE -- Impact Assessment: General Issues and the Identification of the Impacts of Technology -- Analysis of the Impacts of Technologies -- Benefit/Cost and Risk Analysis -- Evaluation of Technologies and Their Impacts -- Managing the Present from the Future -- Appendices -- Bibliography -- Index
520			_aPublished in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.
630	0	0	_aMOT. _912146
650		0	_aTechnological forecasting. _9381
700	1		_aPorter, Alan L. _93461
596			_a1
999			_c5249 _d5249