Forecasting and management of technology / Alan L. Porter ... [et al.] ; with software and documentation by Bradley J. Wiederholt.
Material type:
TextSeries: Wiley series in engineering & technology managementPublication details: New York : Wiley, c1991.Description: xiv, 448 p. : ill. ; 25 cm. + 1 computer disk (5 1/4 in.)ISBN: - 0471512230
- 601.12 22
| Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
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Books
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Main library General Stacks | 601.12 / PO.F 1991 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | 000177 |
"A Wiley-Interscience publication."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 421-440) and index.
OVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES -- Management, Technology, and the Future -- Principles of Sociotechnical Change -- Technology Planning -- Forecasting -- Managing the Forecasting Project -- METHODS -- General Methodological Issues -- The Stimulation of Creativity -- Monitoring -- Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation -- Extrapolating Technological Trends -- Expert Opinion -- Simulation -- Scenarios -- Economic Forecasting and Analysis -- ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE -- Impact Assessment: General Issues and the Identification of the Impacts of Technology -- Analysis of the Impacts of Technologies -- Benefit/Cost and Risk Analysis -- Evaluation of Technologies and Their Impacts -- Managing the Present from the Future -- Appendices -- Bibliography -- Index
Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.
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