MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
15486nam a22002537a 4500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
201210b2023 a|||f bm|| 00| 0 eng d |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Original cataloging agency |
EG-CaNU |
| Transcribing agency |
EG-CaNU |
| 041 0# - Language Code |
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| Language code of text |
eng |
| Language code of abstract |
eng |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
658.4 |
| 100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Mustafa Ahmed Ali Almahdi |
| 245 1# - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
THE IMPACT OF INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES ON THE EGYPTIAN ECONOMY/ |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. |
Mustafa Ahmed Ali Almahdi |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. |
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| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2023 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
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| Extent |
198 p. |
| Other physical details |
ill. |
| Dimensions |
21 cm. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
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| Materials specified |
Supervisor: <br/>Tarek Khalil |
| 502 ## - Dissertation Note |
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| Dissertation type |
Thesis (PH.D)—Nile University, Egypt, 2023 . |
| 504 ## - Bibliography |
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| Bibliography |
"Includes bibliographical references" |
| 505 0# - Contents |
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| Formatted contents note |
Contents:<br/>TABLE OF CONTENTS<br/>CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL.................................................................................. II<br/>DEDICATION.................................................................................................................III<br/>ACKNOWLEDGEMENT..............................................................................................IV<br/>DECLARATION...............................................................................................................V<br/>ABSTRACT.....................................................................................................................VI<br/>LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................XI<br/>LIST OF FIGURES..................................................................................................... XIV<br/>CHAPTER 1.......................................................................................................................1<br/>INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................1<br/>1.1 RESEARCH BACKGROUND .............................................................................. 1<br/>1.2 EGYPT’s ICT MARKETs.................................................................................... 11<br/>1.2.1 Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) ........ 11<br/>1.2.2 National Telecommunication Regulatory Authority (NTRA).................... 12<br/>1.2.3 Supreme Council for Media Regulation....................................................... 13<br/>1.2.4 Information Technology Industry Development Authority (ITIDA)........ 13<br/>1.2.5 Other Sectoral Authorities Involved in the ICTs Sector............................. 14<br/>1.3 KEY ICTs POLICIES AND PROGRAMS ........................................................ 16<br/>1.4 ICTs MARKET STRUCTURE AND COMPETITION ................................... 17<br/>1.5 REGIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON ON ICTs SECTOR <br/>DEVELOPMENT........................................................................................................ 22<br/>1.6 THE HISTORY OF INVESTMENTS IN THE ICTS SECTOR OF EGYPT 23<br/>1.7 STRUCTURE OF THE DISSERTATION......................................................... 30<br/>CHAPTER 2.....................................................................................................................31<br/>LITERATURE REVIEW ...............................................................................................31<br/>2.1 PREFACE.............................................................................................................. 31<br/>2.2 IMACT OF ICTs BROADBAND TECHNOLOGIES ON GDP...................... 31<br/>2.3 ICTs DIFFUSION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH............................................ 34<br/>2.4 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ICT INVESTMENTS AND ECONOMIC <br/>DEVELOPMENT IN EGYPT ................................................................................... 40<br/>2.5 RESEARCH GAPs................................................................................................ 53<br/>CHAPTER 3.....................................................................................................................56<br/>VIII<br/>RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ...................................................................................56<br/>3.1 PREFACE.............................................................................................................. 56<br/>3.2 RESEARCH PROBLEM STATEMENT ........................................................... 56<br/>3.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS .................................................................................. 57<br/>3.4 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ................................................................................ 57<br/>3.5 HYPOTHESES OF THE STUDY ....................................................................... 58<br/>3.6 DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREA .......................................................... 58<br/>3.7 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY..................................................................... 59<br/>3.8 RESEARCH PARADIGM ................................................................................... 60<br/>3.8.1 Positivism......................................................................................................... 60<br/>3.8.2 Interpretivism ................................................................................................. 61<br/>3.8.3 Chosen research paradigm.............................................................................. 61<br/>3.9 RESEARCH DESIGN .......................................................................................... 61<br/>3.9.1 Descriptive Research Design.......................................................................... 61<br/>3.9.2 Explanatory Research Design........................................................................ 62<br/>3.9.3 Exploratory Research Design........................................................................ 62<br/>3.9.4 Experimental research design ....................................................................... 62<br/>3.9.5 Chosen research design................................................................................... 62<br/>3.10 RESEARCH APPROACH................................................................................. 63<br/>3.10.1 Quantitative Research Approach................................................................ 63<br/>3.10.2 Qualitative Research Approach .................................................................. 63<br/>3.10.3 Mixed Research Approach .......................................................................... 63<br/>3.10.4 Chosen Research Approach .......................................................................... 64<br/>3.11 DATA COLLECTION ....................................................................................... 64<br/>3.11.1 Primary Data Collection .............................................................................. 64<br/>3.11.2 Secondary Data Collection........................................................................... 65<br/>3.11.3 Chosen Data Collection method.................................................................... 65<br/>3.12 POPULATION AND SAMPLING.................................................................... 65<br/>3.12.1 Chosen population and sampling.................................................................. 66<br/>3.13 MODEL CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK...................................................... 68<br/>3.13.1 Model specifications ..................................................................................... 68<br/>3.13.2 Methodology for Testing and validation of the dataset and model results<br/>................................................................................................................................... 71<br/>IX<br/>3.13.3 Unit Root or Stationarity Test..................................................................... 71<br/>3.13.4 Cointegration Test........................................................................................ 72<br/>3.13.5 Correlation Test............................................................................................ 73<br/>3.13.6 Causality Test................................................................................................ 74<br/>3.13.7 Model Validity and Reliability .................................................................... 74<br/>3.13.8 Chosen Model, Method, Testing and Validation.......................................... 76<br/>3.14 DATA ANALYSIS METHOD........................................................................... 77<br/>3.14.1 Chosen Data Analysis Methods..................................................................... 78<br/>3.15 ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS....................................................................... 78<br/>3.16 SUMMARY.......................................................................................................... 79<br/>CHAPTER 4.....................................................................................................................81<br/>RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS....................................................................................81<br/>4.1 PREFACE.............................................................................................................. 81<br/>4.2 DISCUSSIONS ON DATA................................................................................... 81<br/>4.2.1 Study Variables Specifications...................................................................... 82<br/>4.2.2 Model Data ...................................................................................................... 82<br/>4.2.3 Results of the Test of the Dataset Unit Root ................................................ 89<br/>4.2.4 VECM Estimation and Cointegration Testing ............................................ 95<br/>4.2.4.1 Lag selection for VECM............................................................................... 97<br/>4.2.4.2 Results of Johansen Cointegration Test...................................................... 98<br/>4.3 VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM) ................................. 99<br/>4.3.1 VECM model estimation and analysis.......................................................... 99<br/>4.3.2 Fixed Broadband Technology (FB) Model (GDP per capita and Fixed <br/>Broadband)............................................................................................................. 103<br/>4.3.3 Mobile Broadband Technology (MB) Model (GDP per Capita and mobile <br/>broadband)............................................................................................................. 106<br/>4.3.4 ICTs Regulatory Tracker Index (RI) Model (GDP per Capita and RI) . 109<br/>4.3.5 Government Expenditure in ICTs Model (GDP per Capita and <br/>GovExpenditureICTs)........................................................................................... 112<br/>4.3.6 Mobile Broadband Capable device penetration Model (GDP per Capita <br/>and MB Capable Device) ...................................................................................... 115<br/>4.4 TESTING OF THE MAIN HYPOTHESES OF THE RESEARCH.............. 118<br/>4.4.1 Null Hypotheses ............................................................................................ 118<br/>X<br/>4.4.2 Interpretation of the Empirical Results...................................................... 120<br/>4.5 RESULTS OF THE CORRELATION TEST.................................................. 121<br/>4.5.1 Interpretation of the Empirical Results...................................................... 122<br/>4.6 RESULTS OF THE CAUSALITY TEST......................................................... 124<br/>4.6.1 Interpretation of the Causality Empirical Results .................................... 125<br/>4.7 RESULTS OF THE MODEL VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY .................. 126<br/>4.7.1 Results of VECM Diagnostics and Tests .................................................... 127<br/>4.7.2 Results of the Model validation against ITU’s Models ............................. 128<br/>4.8 SUMMARY.......................................................................................................... 129<br/>CHAPTER 5...................................................................................................................131<br/>CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS.........................................................131<br/>5.1 MAJOR FINDINGS............................................................................................ 131<br/>5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS.................................................................................... 140<br/>5.3 STUDY LIMITATIONS..................................................................................... 143<br/>5.4 FUTURE RESEARCH ....................................................................................... 144<br/>REFERENCES...............................................................................................................148<br/>APPENDIX 1 STATA OF VEC MAIN MODEL .......................................................163<br/>APPENDIX 2 STATA OF VEC FB MODEL .............................................................166<br/>APPENDIX 3 STATA OF VEC MB MODEL............................................................169<br/>APPENDIX 4 STATA OF VEC RI MODEL..............................................................172<br/>APPENDIX 5 STATA OF VEC GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE IN ICTS <br/>MODEL ..........................................................................................................................175<br/>APPENDIX 6 STATA OF VEC MOBILE BROADBAND CAPABLE DEVICE <br/>MODEL ..........................................................................................................................178<br/>APPENDIX 7 AUTHOR’S PUBLISHED PAPER .....................................................181 |
| 520 3# - Abstract |
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| Abstract |
Abstract:<br/>In this research, several econometric techniques have been used to develop a multivariate <br/>prediction model to measure the economic impact of ICTs in Egypt from 2000 to 2021. The <br/>models have been employed to investigate the relationship between the dependent variable <br/>(GDP per capita) and several independent variables. The study adopted Vector Error <br/>Correction Model (VECM) and investigation procedures involved unit root testing <br/>Augmented Dickey Fuller, Johansen cointegration test, Maximum Likelihood Estimator <br/>(MLE) regression analysis and Granger causality test.<br/>The empirical results showed that in Egypt a 1 % increase in the subscriptions of fixed <br/>broadband corresponds to an increase of GDP per capita of 0.023 %, a 1 % increase in the <br/>subscriptions of mobile broadband resulted in an increase GDP per capita of 0.0423% and <br/>a 1 % increase in the Government Expenditure in ICTs, corresponds to an increase GDP <br/>per capita by 0.775%. The results also showed that the regression model is significant, valid <br/>and reliable and there is strong and a long- equilibrium relationship between variables and <br/>trends in the data that occur every 1 to 5 years.<br/>The study provided policy recommendations related to investment in mobile broadband <br/>infrastructure, ICT annual investments, labor, and the need to spend more on the ICTs <br/>sector to support the growth of the broadband technologies industry in Egypt. Future <br/>research is proposed to include investigating fractional integration, testing for non-linear <br/>relationships and integration of machine learning methods as well as a carrying cross <br/>country and sectorial analysis. <br/>Keywords: Broadband Technologies, Economic growth, ICTs, GDP per capita and Vector <br/>Error Correction Model (VECM) |
| 546 ## - Language Note |
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| Language Note |
Text in English, abstracts in English. |
| 650 #4 - Subject |
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| Subject |
MOT |
| 655 #7 - Index Term-Genre/Form |
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| Source of term |
NULIB |
| focus term |
Dissertation, Academic |
| 690 ## - Subject |
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| School |
MOT |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Thesis |
| 650 #4 - Subject |
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| -- |
309 |
| 655 #7 - Index Term-Genre/Form |
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| -- |
187 |
| 690 ## - Subject |
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| -- |
309 |